The Cranked Report — NFL Projections

Week 1, 2026 · real model output · Matchup Score is a real 0-100 score (blue = better, orange = worse); every other stat's color shows that player trending above or below their own normal pace for that specific stat.

Titans (home)

Player	Pos	Status	FPTS ↓	Low	High	Vegas Total	Opp Def Rank	Matchup	RZ Touches	H2H Avg	Team Pace	Target Depth	Share Trend	Home/Road Avg	Depth Chart	Pass Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Att	Rush Yds	Targets	Rec	Rec Yds	Anytime TD %
Cam Ward	QB10	Healthy	17.8	7.8	27.3	18.5	1	69.4	1.2	0 (0)	61.6	7.2	0pp	13	1	32.9	238.6	1.5	0.5	3.7	15.1	—	—	—	15.4%
Tony Pollard	RB24	Healthy	12.7	6.5	19.5	18.5	2	87.7	1.8	12.1 (3)	61.6	0.7	-1.8pp	11	1	—	—	—	—	13.2	63.6	2	1.6	13.5	37.6%
Tyjae Spears	RB35	Healthy	9.9	3.7	16.7	18.5	2	68.9	0	5.1 (1)	61.6	-2.9	-2.7pp	8.9	2	—	—	—	—	6	28	3.9	3.2	22.8	26.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson NEW TEAM	WR72	Healthy	7.6	1.7	14.9	18.5	10	82.4	1.4	1.7 (1)	61.6	9.3	+2.5pp	10.6	2	—	—	—	—	0.2	1.3	4.3	2.8	33.7	20%
Chimere Dike	WR79	Healthy	7.0	1.1	14.3	18.5	10	71.5	0	0 (0)	61.6	8.8	+0.3pp	9	1	—	—	—	—	0.4	2.3	4	2.7	32.3	20%
Elic Ayomanor	WR81	Healthy	6.8	0.8	14.1	18.5	10	59.4	0	0 (0)	61.6	12.7	-3.6pp	8.6	5	—	—	—	—	0	0.5	4	2.3	34.3	16.6%
Calvin Ridley	WR86	Healthy	6.3	0.4	13.6	18.5	10	68.5	0	24.7 (1)	61.6	13.3	-4.9pp	13.5	3	—	—	—	—	0	0.4	3.2	2	33	14.9%
Mitchell Trubisky NEW TEAM	QB62	Healthy	6.2	0	15.8	18.5	1	5.6	0	10 (6)	61.6	7.2	0pp	13.1	2	11.2	87.7	0.6	0.1	1.9	4.6	—	—	—	8.4%
Gunnar Helm	TE40	Healthy	5.8	1	11	18.5	5	86.1	0	0 (0)	61.6	4.3	-1pp	5.4	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.7	2.8	29.5	19.8%
Kylen Granson NEW TEAM	TE49	Healthy	4.8	0	10.1	18.5	5	11.6	1.2	2.6 (2)	61.6	7.6	-0.9pp	2.8	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	1.5	14.7	10.8%
Daniel Bellinger NEW TEAM	TE54	Healthy	4.5	0	9.7	18.5	5	63	0	0 (1)	61.6	6.8	+1.1pp	4.2	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.6	1.9	22	14.1%

H2H Avg: real fantasy points average vs. this specific opponent, with real career meetings in parentheses. Share Trend: real percentage-point swing in this player's share of team targets, rising (blue) or falling (orange). Home/Road Avg: real career average matching this week's home/away status. A player tagged NEW has zero career games -- their row uses a real draft-capital debut-game baseline, not the main trained model. NEW TEAM means real career games exist, but none with their current team yet -- their projection is adjusted toward a real depth-chart-rank baseline (tested to improve accuracy for exactly this situation).

Jets (away)

Player	Pos	Status	FPTS ↓	Low	High	Vegas Total	Opp Def Rank	Matchup	RZ Touches	H2H Avg	Team Pace	Target Depth	Share Trend	Home/Road Avg	Depth Chart	Pass Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Att	Rush Yds	Targets	Rec	Rec Yds	Anytime TD %
Geno Smith	QB15	Healthy	16.5	6.5	26	20	2	70.8	1.4	13 (2)	62.6	7.2	0pp	14.2	1	30.8	228.9	1.4	0.7	3.7	12.8	—	—	—	15.4%
Breece Hall	RB29	Healthy	12.0	5.8	18.8	20	29	28.3	2.4	24.4 (1)	62.6	-0.5	-2.2pp	15.3	1	—	—	—	—	12.8	48.8	3.6	2.8	22	39.8%
Garrett Wilson	WR34	Healthy	10.2	4.3	17.5	20	14	88.5	0	10.2 (1)	62.6	8.6	+1.6pp	13.4	1	—	—	—	—	0	0	6.7	4.2	52.3	27.7%
Isaiah Davis	RB46	Healthy	8.2	2.1	15	20	29	14.2	1.8	0 (0)	62.6	1	-1pp	5.4	3	—	—	—	—	6.6	28	2.4	1.9	14.8	24.5%
Adonai Mitchell	WR70	Healthy	7.7	1.8	15	20	14	86.7	0	1.9 (4)	62.6	12.4	+2pp	4.1	2	—	—	—	—	0.1	0.4	5.1	2.9	40.4	20.5%
Jeremy Ruckert	TE32	Healthy	6.9	2.1	12.1	20	7	81.5	1	0 (1)	62.6	3.6	-0.1pp	2.6	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.7	2.7	25.4	19.2%
Mason Taylor	TE35	Healthy	6.6	1.8	11.9	20	7	93.5	0	0 (0)	62.6	6.5	-2.1pp	8.8	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.3	3.1	32.3	21.7%
Braelon Allen	RB60	Healthy	6.3	0.1	13.1	20	29	17	2.2	19.6 (1)	62.6	7.2	-0.8pp	6.1	2	—	—	—	—	6.9	28	0.9	0.7	7.1	21.5%
Isaiah Williams	WR90	Healthy	5.7	0	13	20	14	67.9	0	1.3 (2)	62.6	3.8	+5.7pp	3	1	—	—	—	—	0.2	1.3	3.4	2.4	26.7	17.4%
Tim Patrick NEW TEAM	WR124	Healthy	4.0	0	11.3	20	14	47.9	1.8	2.6 (4)	62.6	11.6	0pp	7	5	—	—	—	—	0.1	0.3	2.1	1.3	15.9	10%
Jelani Woods	TE72	Healthy	3.8	0	9.1	20	7	84.3	0	2.9 (2)	62.6	7.2	-2.2pp	2.4	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.5	1.8	20.1	13%
Kene Nwangwu	RB93	Healthy	3.0	0	9.7	20	29	2.8	0	0 (0)	62.6	-0.8	0pp	0.9	1	—	—	—	—	2.4	5.6	1.5	1.2	8.6	11.5%